Artificial
Intelligence will impact IT and Make in India
The nature of blue collar, at
times, even white collar employment could undergo a tectonic shift going ahead.
That's because of the rise of machines, particularly artificial intelligence (AI)
and robotics. While AI has been around since the 1950s, the ability of a
computer or a computer-enabled robotic system to process information and
produce results has jumped multi-fold - machines today are able to make
decisions and solve complex problems on their own, with little human
intervention. While automation may not lead to the mass obsolescence of manual
labour as some predict, it would definitely lead to shrinkage of jobs in many
industries. A new report on "Artificial Intelligence and Robotics -
2017" by PwC-Assocham buttresses the point. Here are some highlights: 1. Sectors that would be impacted because of
robotic systems and ML algorithms taking up several tasks include IT,
manufacturing, agriculture, forestry among others. 2. The implication for 'Make
in India': It could strengthen India's production capabilities but "may
not end up creating nearly as many jobs as it is poised to at this point in
time". A separate report by Shashi Shekhar Vempati, a digital strategist,
published by Carnegie India, underlines the point: "Foxconn is among the
top owners of robotics patents filed with the United States Patent and
Trademark Office and produces thousands of industrial robots a year that in
aggregate are capable of performing more than ten types of manufacturing tasks.
This is expected to have a significant impact on the workforce: as many as
60,000 workers have been displaced by robots in one Foxconn factory alone in
the Kunshan region of China. China is projected to have more installed industrial
robots by the end of 2016 than any other country, with more than 30 robots for
every 10,000 industrial workers. If China were to increase that density,
employment would be further damaged." Chinese manufacturers are now
investing in India - all greenfield factories are expected to have a higher
degree of automation than we have seen in the past. Competitive pressures will
propel Indian manufacturers to automate as well. 3. The PwC-Assocham report
states that there is a positive to the robotic rise. "A scenario wherein
low-skilled, repeatable labour can be assigned to robotic systems provides an
incentive for part of the workforce to be trained in higher level skills such
as designing, monitoring and oversight, and adjusting machine algorithms to
enable AI systems to operate in a reliable and transparent manner". That's
the shift in the nature of employment India is likely to experience.
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